Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.4#12
Expected Predictive Rating+16.6#15
Pace61.3#335
Improvement-2.2#278

Offense
Total Offense+9.6#12
First Shot+9.9#5
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#198
Layup/Dunks+3.5#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#7
Freethrows+1.1#99
Improvement-2.3#283

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#27
First Shot+6.3#26
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#127
Layups/Dunks+6.4#7
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#350
Freethrows+4.0#6
Improvement+0.1#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 38.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 96.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round80.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen46.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight16.8% n/a n/a
Final Four7.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3.0 - 6.03.0 - 6.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 2.04.0 - 8.0
Quad 27.0 - 0.011.0 - 8.0
Quad 35.0 - 0.016.0 - 8.0
Quad 48.0 - 0.024.0 - 8.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 183   Gardner-Webb W 87-59 96%     1 - 0 +23.8 -1.8 +21.9
  Nov 15, 2018 134   Ball St. W 73-64 90%     2 - 0 +11.4 +13.0 -0.5
  Nov 16, 2018 83   Northeastern W 88-60 84%     3 - 0 +33.9 +27.6 +10.0
  Nov 18, 2018 10   Purdue W 89-83 45%     4 - 0 +23.7 +23.3 +0.5
  Nov 24, 2018 259   St. Francis (PA) W 75-37 98%     5 - 0 +29.5 -1.9 +33.5
  Nov 27, 2018 42   @ Penn St. L 62-63 61%     5 - 1 +12.5 +4.6 +7.8
  Dec 01, 2018 325   Central Connecticut St. W 94-40 99%     6 - 1 +40.2 +18.5 +24.0
  Dec 05, 2018 295   VMI W 89-68 99%     7 - 1 +10.3 +4.2 +5.0
  Dec 09, 2018 339   South Carolina St. W 81-44 99%     8 - 1 +19.9 +0.9 +20.7
  Dec 15, 2018 51   Washington W 73-61 74%     9 - 1 +21.6 +12.5 +9.9
  Dec 19, 2018 315   N.C. A&T W 82-60 99%     10 - 1 +9.8 +9.7 +1.5
  Dec 28, 2018 352   Maryland Eastern Shore W 85-40 99.8%    11 - 1 +21.8 +22.6 +9.4
  Jan 01, 2019 77   Notre Dame W 81-66 88%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +18.5 +22.9 -2.1
  Jan 05, 2019 106   Boston College W 77-66 91%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +12.8 +8.1 +5.2
  Jan 09, 2019 100   @ Georgia Tech W 52-49 80%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +10.6 -6.5 +17.5
  Jan 15, 2019 2   @ Virginia L 59-81 19%     14 - 2 3 - 1 +3.8 +12.7 -14.4
  Jan 19, 2019 153   Wake Forest W 87-71 95%     15 - 2 4 - 1 +14.1 +15.4 -0.8
  Jan 21, 2019 4   @ North Carolina L 82-103 22%     15 - 3 4 - 2 +3.3 +13.5 -8.4
  Jan 26, 2019 33   Syracuse W 78-56 76%     16 - 3 5 - 2 +31.0 +17.5 +15.4
  Jan 30, 2019 66   @ Miami (FL) W 82-70 71%     17 - 3 6 - 2 +22.5 +12.1 +10.1
  Feb 02, 2019 31   @ North Carolina St. W 47-24 55%     18 - 3 7 - 2 +38.2 -3.5 +49.1
  Feb 04, 2019 19   Louisville L 64-72 66%     18 - 4 7 - 3 +4.1 +5.0 -1.7
  Feb 09, 2019 29   @ Clemson L 51-59 53%     18 - 5 7 - 4 +7.5 -0.5 +6.4
  Feb 13, 2019 100   Georgia Tech W 76-68 90%     19 - 5 8 - 4 +10.0 +16.7 -5.7
  Feb 16, 2019 93   @ Pittsburgh W 70-64 78%     20 - 5 9 - 4 +14.1 +10.3 +4.4
  Feb 18, 2019 2   Virginia L 58-64 35%     20 - 6 9 - 5 +14.2 +5.0 +8.1
  Feb 23, 2019 77   @ Notre Dame W 67-59 76%     21 - 6 10 - 5 +17.0 +3.1 +14.5
  Feb 26, 2019 3   Duke W 77-72 37%     22 - 6 11 - 5 +24.8 +22.0 +3.3
  Mar 05, 2019 13   @ Florida St. L 64-73 OT 39%     22 - 7 11 - 6 +10.1 +5.1 +4.6
  Mar 08, 2019 66   Miami (FL) W 84-70 86%     23 - 7 12 - 6 +18.9 +16.2 +3.3
  Mar 13, 2019 66   Miami (FL) W 71-56 79%     24 - 7 +22.7 +13.2 +12.0
  Mar 14, 2019 13   Florida St. L 63-65 OT 50%     24 - 8 +14.3 +1.8 +12.5
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.8 0.0 0.2 6.1 32.2 39.9 18.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.8 0.0 0.2 6.1 32.2 39.9 18.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%